Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.897665 4.502325 5.170464 5.963669 6.880002 7.905762 9.141830
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.143972 3.948612 4.914476 6.160039 7.725345 9.629612 12.126080
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.488973 3.361361 4.486586 6.045985 8.154857 10.913542 14.806774
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.986959 2.862330 4.065939 5.844535 8.412569 11.996941 17.400516
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.708026 2.608655 3.920835 5.976192 9.125705 13.788728 21.254151
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.429501 2.302283 3.642562 5.856204 9.437050 15.031415 24.493452
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.310307 2.216615 3.677851 6.212897 10.525124 17.607093 30.213248
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.185511 2.098702 3.638862 6.435291 11.419036 19.991790 35.993412
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.048694 1.936494 3.497804 6.455282 11.959712 21.845535 41.133620
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.885728 1.700983 3.191588 6.128699 11.820661 22.462804 44.102898
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.826695 1.648448 3.208049 6.399702 12.829844 25.326101 51.768028
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.796795 1.646888 3.318781 6.866337 14.283923 29.242572 62.125139
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.732656 1.570599 3.279388 7.041337 15.210483 32.318009 71.416593
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.663267 1.472782 3.182311 7.082246 15.866394 34.945132 80.222922
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.579052 1.329739 2.968853 6.837618 15.861815 36.158443 86.097792
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.503201 1.193319 2.749098 6.542874 15.693916 36.976718 91.189814
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.465219 1.138591 2.704940 6.648746 16.480257 40.110725 102.392661
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.414900 1.046476 2.560229 6.490049 16.600237 41.678004 109.969861
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.401479 1.043343 2.628138 6.869420 18.128060 46.943157 128.007331
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.380878 1.018699 2.639223 7.105137 19.323656 51.555160 145.125182
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.351306 0.965926 2.571008 7.120784 19.935677 54.737982 158.875549
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.308007 0.869424 2.374395 6.756407 19.445105 54.873182 163.988074
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.296858 0.860488 2.411825 7.053044 20.873808 60.560375 186.417492